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The impending retirement of Democratic Sen. Joe Manchin of West Virginia if he doesn’t seek reelection in 2024 has been causing yet more headaches for Democrats.
Manchin’s potential departure raises questions about the 2022 midterms, when Democrats would need to defend a number of other competitive Senate seats. It also serves as a reminder to progressive politicians that the party needs to work to build relationships with voters in purple and red states who have backed Manchin in the past.
Of all the Democratic senators up for reelection in 2022, Manchin is the one with the best shot to survive thanks to his independent brand and popularity with West Virginia voters, meaning his potential retirement in 2024 could be especially damaging.
Manchin is a key vote in the closely split Senate, and his potential departure could lead to Democrats losing the majority and control of the Senate in 2024. Republicans already hold a majority of state legislatures and governorships, and further losses could mean further gains for the GOP.
Ultimately, if Manchin decides not to run for reelection in 2024, his retirement could make it difficult for Democrats to make inroads into red states and to build a strong majority in Congress. It could also make it more difficult for the party to pass progressive legislation and other initiatives that Manchin personally opposes.