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1. Arizona: With incumbent Democrat Kyrsten Sinema up for reelection in 2024, the seat is ripe for Republican takeover given the state’s rightward shift in recent years.
2. Georgia: As Georgia continues its rightward shift, it is another state where Democrats will likely face an uphill battle in retaining a seat.
3. North Carolina: Incumbent Thom Tillis is up for reelection in 2024 and will likely face a tough battle as North Carolina trends Republican.
4. Pennsylvania: Incumbent Bob Casey has a tough battle ahead of him if he wants to retain his seat, given that the state is trending to the right.
5. Wisconsin: Incumbent Tammy Baldwin is expected to be a tough competitor, but her re-election bid won’t be easy, given the state’s increased partisan leanings.