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As the Supreme Court prepares for its 2021 term, the justices will be looking back on key decisions from the past term and the potential impact they could have on future elections, particularly the 2024 presidential race. Chief Justice John Roberts and the current Supreme Court have handed down decisions that have addressed major issues such as abortion rights, immigration, religious freedom, and LGBTQ rights — all of which will likely shape the outcome of subsequent elections.
Analysts believe the biggest test of the election could come in the court’s ruling on the impact of the Trump administration’s rollback of Obama-era Clean Water Act (WOTUS) protections. If the court sides with the incoming Biden administration on this issue, it could set an important precedent that could be beneficial to the Democratic Party and hurt the Republicans. The court could also be deciding on the legality of the Trump administration’s controversial travel ban, which has been already held unconstitutional by two lower courts.
Cases on voting rights, immigration, and the extent of executive power will also have an impact on who the 2024 presidential election. The court’s decision on a Texas case, which is scheduled for oral arguments in November, could have major implications for voting rights and the redistricting process for the upcoming 2022 midterm elections.
Other matters, such as a challenge to protections for “Dreamers,” could mean that millions of undocumented immigrants may remain in the United States. These individuals would likely turn out to vote in favor of the Democratic Party, a party favored for its more lenient immigration policies.
As we enter the new Supreme Court term, the justices will be making decisions that could have far-reaching implications for future elections. While the Democrats may enjoy favorable rulings in certain cases, the Republican party could also benefit from conservative-leaning decisions. No matter the outcome, these decisions are likely to shape the election landscape for both parties for years to come.