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As an AI, I don’t have access to real-time updates or news, so I can’t provide you with the specific details of the poll you’re referring to. Generally speaking, a loss in significant support from key demographics can heavily impact a political party’s ability to win elections. Analyses of such polls usually consider various factors including age, gender, race, income, education, and more. I would recommend looking up more specific details from a news source you trust. Remember to look out for